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Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences

ISSN: Online 1818-7803
ISSN: Print 1816-949x
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The Role of Macro-Economic Analysis in the Prediction of Russia’s Equity Market Movements

Nikita Yurievich Mazaev
Page: 829-833 | Received 21 Sep 2022, Published online: 21 Sep 2022

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Abstract

One of the key milestones of the modern top down/bottom up analysis is the assessment of a country’s economic level and growth prospects. In this study on the basis of leading and confirming macroeconomic indicators we offer a macroeconomic analysis and forecast for the nearest 3-6 months, according to which the RTS dollar index confirmed our expectations while the MICEX demonstrated a distinctly opposite dynamics. The key reason for this is the fact that the two indexes are calculated in different hard currency values: the RTS is done in US dollars while the MICEX-in Russian roubles. Relying on the results of the study, I made a conclusion that what is needed are structural, legal, geopolitical and business changes which introduction would allow us to have a better justified and truer assessment of the economic situation in the country by the equity market.


How to cite this article:

Nikita Yurievich Mazaev. The Role of Macro-Economic Analysis in the Prediction of Russia’s Equity Market Movements.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36478/jeasci.2017.829.833
URL: https://www.makhillpublications.co/view-article/1816-949x/jeasci.2017.829.833